When Are Home Heating Prices Expected to Go Down?

With winter weather settling in, homeowners in the U.S. are dealing with the problem of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a noteworthy jump in energy rates, leaving many searching for answers and relief. Uncover what affects home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and tips to keep your utility bills in check.

Different Kinds of Home Heating Fuel

Many fuels are used to keep homes warm and cozy in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil serves 5% of homes.
  • Propane accounts for another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels continue to be the main source for making electricity even with the renewed focus on renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Factors Impact the Cost of Fossil Fuels?

Based on the above information, it’s apparent that fossil fuels heat a great majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the number one factor creating price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by more production and storage rates—typically lowers prices, while a surge in demand—triggered by extreme weather, a thriving economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to climb.

Exactly How Much Has the Cost of Natural Gas Risen?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, leading to an overall price decline in all of 2018. But, demand has increased significantly recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to hit heights not seen in over a decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas surged to its highest point since 2008, reaching an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This massive increase represented a significant leap of over 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the steepest annual increases in history.

A number of factors added to the erratic rise and lack of stability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, manufacturing hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a significant draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices up. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and other regions, coupled with an increase in domestic demand caused by cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices jumped past $9/MMBtu, only to tumble by 40% following the fire and subsequent closure of the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident sharply cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas toward storage. However, as the summer heat eased, prices climbed once again, peaking in late August.

Shifting into the fall, an increase in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices retreat closer to the five-year average. Yet, as temperatures dropped, the demand for heating caused prices to ascend one more time.

When Will Fuel Rates Calm Down?

The changes in natural gas prices highlight the complicated interplay of factors influencing home heating fuel rates. As we look forward to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price trends and the possibility of cost-saving opportunities.

As of late 2023, prices have decreased from their previous highs because of robust production and relatively mellow temperatures. While demand continues to be steady, forecasters anticipate prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, providing some respite for homeowners as we move through the heating season.

Tips to Cut Your Heating Bill

No matter how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several helpful steps to boost energy efficiency and lower your heating bills. Here are a few strategies:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, throwing them open during the day for free light and heat and then drawing them closed in the evenings to insulate your windows.
  • Add more attic insulation to prevent heat from rising out of your home.
  • Install a smart thermostat that learns your habits and saves you money.
  • Dial down the temperature on your thermostat when you’re out so you aren’t heating an empty house.
  • Don warmer clothes indoors so you don’t need to crank up the thermostat.
  • Schedule annual furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in top shape.
  • Use a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more cozy at a lower temperature.

Make Your Home Warm in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is of greater importance to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and well-being. Our services can also help reduce home heating costs, which is excellent news for your pocketbook. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quality, lasting remedies to all your comfort needs. The assurance of a 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not truly happy with our services, we promise to make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community participation, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a positive difference in your life and enjoyment in your home. For more information about heating prices in the U.S. or personalized solutions to help minimize your utility bills, contact the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

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